Monetary easing following the market sell off at the end of 2018 helped financial markets throughout 2019. A broad mix of asset classes generated close to 15% over the full year. All asset classes performed positively.
Global equity markets were up 26.6% as fixed income performed strongly with government bonds up 7.6% and corporate bonds up 12.5%. Commodities, being the laggard of the last decade was up 5.4%.
The huge withdrawal of central bank liquidity happening currently is truly “unprecedented” (an otherwise-overused term currently). Despite all of the detailed analysis on the effects of quantitative tightening no one can predict the full impact this will have, but it is certainly not Fed Chair Yellen’s 2017 expectation of “watching paint dry”.
Inflation continues to drive recession worries. US inflation continues to drive recession worries with CPI running at 8.6% YoY in May.